Bet sheet archive · 03 October 2026
03 October 2026: 7 bets staked, settled 2W-4L. Every entry below was published before its match started.
Alcaraz is a heavy favourite in Tokyo, but since returning from his wrist injury he has dropped a set in each of his last three matches, including his opener here. Arnaldi's matches tend to run long, and the games total of 20 looks a touch low for a match that only needs one competitive set to go over.
C. Alcaraz won 2 - 0
Swiatek returns after nearly four weeks off for her first match in Beijing, against a home player who has already won a round here. We expect Swiatek to win, but an eight-game margin is a big ask on a rusty first outing, so we take Gao with the +7.5 games start.
I. Swiatek won 2 - 0
Lin Zhu gets two games against Donna Vekic in Beijing. Vekic's rating is built largely on clay and grass, and on hard courts the two are almost level. Vekic has lost five of her last six hard-court matches, while Zhu has already won a round here in front of a home crowd.
D. Vekic won 2 - 1
Jovic arrives in Beijing off a title run in Guadalajara two weeks ago and plays her first match here, while Dart has already won three matches on site. Jovic should win, but a 6.5-game cushion asks her to dominate almost to a double break each set. We take Dart on the handicap.
I. Jovic won 2 - 1
Cristina Bucsa faces home wildcard Xinyu Sun, the US Open girls champion. Sun's rating rests mostly on junior events, and she reached this round only because her opponent retired while leading 6-1 3-0. Bucsa is an experienced top-50 hard-court grinder, and we back her to win.
X. Sun won 2 - 0
Storm Hunter comes through qualifying into a second-round meeting with Maria Sakkari. Her ranking still reflects a long injury layoff, but her results on hard courts since returning rate her much closer to Sakkari than the price suggests. Sakkari opens her Beijing campaign cold after a quarterfinal exit in Singapore. We take Hunter at the underdog price, small stake.
M. Sakkari won 2 - 0
Kimberly Birrell arrives in Beijing on a six-match winning run after taking the Seoul title, while Marie Bouzkova plays her first match here after eleven days off. On hard courts specifically the two rate very close, and Birrell won their only meeting. At 3.0 the price on Birrell looks too long.
M. Bouzkova won 2 - 0
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Every pick is published before its match starts and graded in public — wins and losses both stay on the record. 18+. Bet responsibly.