Bet sheet archive · 31 October 2026
31 October 2026: 8 bets staked, settled 3W-5L. Every entry below was published before its match started.
Gorgodze has beaten the market's expectations across her last 10 matches, including two wins as the underdog, and her rating is clearly higher than a year ago. Pridankina has underperformed the market over the same stretch and is playing on back-to-back days. Hard-court Elo is nearly level, and the market gives Gorgodze far less of a chance than that suggests.
E. Pridankina won 2 - 1 · Did not beat the closing price
Watson looks underpriced here, with our numbers giving her a 39% chance against a market read of 30%. Jones is rated clearly lower than a year ago, and she carries a heavier recent load with 5 matches in 14 days, including back-to-back days. Watson has lost their only meeting, but the gap in hard-court Elo is modest.
E. Jones won 2 - 0 · Beat the closing price
Bhamidipaty has won both previous meetings with Morvayova and is playing at home in Chennai, which counts for something at this level. Morvayova arrives on back-to-back match days, and her recent form is as poor as her opponent's, with just one win in her last five. Hard is Morvayova's best surface, but the market looks to be overrating her.
V. Morvayova won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
Kobori holds the better hard-court rating, 1516 against 1464, and has already beaten Matsuda in their only meeting. Both arrive on 1-4 runs, so recent form is no separator. Matsuda has outperformed expectations lately and hard is her best surface, but the numbers still lean Kobori.
M. Kobori won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
Duckworth is rated clearly higher than a year ago and holds the better hard-court Elo, 1695 to 1639, plus a 1-0 head-to-head edge. Kecmanovic has underdelivered against market expectations lately, with four losses as favourite, and his hard-court level sits well below his clay form. Back-to-back match days are the one concern for Duckworth.
M. Kecmanovic won 2 - 1 · Did not beat the closing price
Cerundolo is rated clearly higher than a year ago, and he holds a small hard-court Elo edge over Kovacevic. He also won their only previous meeting. Kovacevic has taken just one of his last five and sits lower in the rankings, while both men arrive after a busy fortnight.
J. M. Cerundolo won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
Desai is playing at home in Chennai after 24 days off, while Yamaguchi comes in on back-to-back days with three matches in the last 14. Yamaguchi has also lost her one outing as favourite lately and has been winning less than the market expected. Desai is the clear underdog on rating, but the model rates her at 23% to win and the market prices her closer to 14%.
M. Yamaguchi won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
Baez has been winning less than the market expected lately, which looks like a dip in results rather than a drop in level, since his rating is clearly higher than a year ago. Dzumhur's recent run has overachieved, and he has played on back-to-back days with 4 matches in the last 14 days. Baez also leads the head to head 2-1.
S. Baez won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
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