D. Vekic vs L. Zhu — Prediction & Analysis

Beijing · WTA Beijing - 1/32-finals · Oct. 3, 2026 · 03:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Zhu +2.0 (game handicap) at 2.19 in D. Vekic vs L. Zhu (Beijing on 2026-10-03). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds D. Vekic 1.62 · L. Zhu 2.30

Bot bet

L. Zhu +2.0 (game handicap) @ 2.19 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: D. Vekic · L. Zhu · head-to-head record · Beijing

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method D. Vekic L. Zhu
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
58.6% 41.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
69.5% 30.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
67.2% 32.8%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
65.1% 34.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
58.7% 41.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
D. Vekic hard1656 76–80156
L. Zhu hard1633 149–96245

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 12, 2026.

Head to head

D. Vekic leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 3, 2026BeijinghardD. Vekic2 - 1
Jan. 29, 2026ManilahardD. Vekic2 - 0
March 4, 2023WTA MonterreyhardD. Vekic2 - 0

Recent form

D. Vekic

L M. Sakkari 2 - 0 Oct. 12, 2026
L I. Swiatek 1 - 2 Oct. 5, 2026
W L. Zhu 2 - 1 Oct. 3, 2026
L Xin. Wang 0 - 2 Sept. 22, 2026
L A. Li 2 - 1 Sept. 2, 2026

L. Zhu

L D. Vekic 2 - 1 Oct. 3, 2026
W A. Parks 0 - 2 Oct. 1, 2026
L A. Fita Boluda 2 - 0 Aug. 24, 2026
L L. Tagger 2 - 1 Aug. 11, 2026
L L. Jeanjean 2 - 1 Aug. 1, 2026

All Oct. 3, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →