Bet sheet archive · 02 November 2026
02 November 2026: 6 bets staked, settled 1W-3L. Every entry below was published before its match started.
Fernandez has been beating market expectations over her last 10 matches, and hard court is her strongest surface. Kenin is moving the other way, rated clearly lower than a year ago and well below her clay level on hard. Fernandez's nine matches in 14 days is the one concern.
Tagger has been beating the market's expectations lately, and her run to the Guangzhou final included a near-flawless semi where she dropped just two games. She holds a clear hard-court Elo edge, 1802 to 1651, over a Jacquemot whose rating sits well below where it was a year ago. Both are tired from heavy schedules, so fatigue shouldn't tilt this.
Lee is rated clearly higher than a year ago, and the model gives her a 29% win chance against 23% from the market, so the fair price on her covering is stronger than it looks. Sakkari is the favourite on hard, her best surface, but the +5 games only loses if she wins by six or more in total. Lee's heavy recent schedule is a worry.
M. Sakkari won 2 - 0
Buse has outperformed market expectations across his last 10 matches, picking up an upset along the way, and the price underrates him here. Bergs has played four times in the last 14 days, including back-to-back days, so fatigue could matter. Buse trails 0-1 head to head, but the model sees real value.
I. Buse won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
The model gives M. Navone 51% to win, the market 39%. M. Navone is ranked 47.
L. van Assche won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
Hercog has climbed clearly over the past year and arrives with the same 3-2 recent record as her opponent, so the market looks to be underrating her. Romero Gormaz is the better-rated clay player and won their one meeting, but she has been beating expectations lately, which may have pushed her price too short.
L. Romero Gormaz won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
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Every pick is published before its match starts and graded in public — wins and losses both stay on the record. 18+. Bet responsibly.