TennisEdge's AI bot is backing C. Bucsa (moneyline) at 1.54 in X. Sun vs C. Bucsa (Beijing on 2026-10-03). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | X. Sun | C. Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.3% | 57.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.0% | 72.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
27.5% | 72.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.6% | 67.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.1% | 64.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 31, 2026.
X. Sun leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 3, 2026 | Beijing | hard | X. Sun | 2 - 0 |
| L | H. Dart | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | C. Liu | 2 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 2 - 0 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Yastremska | 2 - 1 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | X. Sun | 2 - 0 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
All Oct. 3, 2026 results & picks →