TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Birrell (moneyline) at 3.00 in M. Bouzkova vs K. Birrell (Beijing on 2026-10-03). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bouzkova | K. Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.4% | 49.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.6% | 38.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.6% | 48.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.8% | 32.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bouzkova | hard | 1810 | 137–92 | 229 |
| K. Birrell | hard | 1751 | 157–105 | 262 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 24, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 3, 2026 | Beijing | hard | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 18, 2025 | Tokyo | hard | K. Birrell | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Zakharova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | M. Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Parks | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| L | D. Kasatkina | 0 - 2 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
All Oct. 3, 2026 results & picks →