Bet sheet archive · 28 September 2026
28 September 2026: 6 bets staked, settled 3W-3L. Every entry below was published before its match started.
Kopriva has played the whole hard-court swing while Molcan's rating was built on clay, where he is far stronger than on hard. Molcan has one hard-court match in three months and has lost as a favourite three times recently. We rate Kopriva a slight favourite, and the price treats him as the underdog.
A. Molcan won 2 - 1
Kawa's ranking was built on clay, and her hard-court rating sits well below Matsuda's. She has lost seven of her last eight, several of them as a clear favourite against lower-ranked opponents. Matsuda has been winning on hard courts in Japan, though against a weaker field, so this is a modest stake on the underdog.
K. Kawa won 2 - 1
Kinoshita has been losing more often than the market expects, with her rating sliding since a spring peak and four defeats in her last five matches. Lu plays at home after reaching a final in Kyoto and should keep this close. We take Lu with a three-and-a-half game head start.
J. Lu won 2 - 0
Jaime Faria arrives as the clear favourite against home player Shintaro Mochizuki, and the stronger schedule and serve sit with the Portuguese. Mochizuki holds serve less often than tour average and his recent losses to top opposition have been quick. We take the games under at 21.5.
J. Faria won 2 - 0
Valentin Royer takes on Botic van de Zandschulp in Beijing. Van de Zandschulp's rating is still lifted by his US Open quarter-final run, but he lost his last match to a lower-rated opponent in Chengdu. Royer's serve and return numbers are level with his, and he pushed Medvedev close last week. At 2.52 we take the underdog for a small stake.
B. Van De Zandschulp won 2 - 1
Mannarino arrives from a Chengdu quarter-final where he beat Tabilo and Shang and pushed Shapovalov. Kecmanovic has lost four of his last five hard-court matches, including to Basilashvili last week, and his hard-court rating is no better than Mannarino's. The price on Mannarino looks too long even allowing for the quick turnaround.
A. Mannarino won 2 - 1
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Every pick is published before its match starts and graded in public — wins and losses both stay on the record. 18+. Bet responsibly.