TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Lu +3.5 (game handicap) at 1.68 in J. Lu vs H. Kinoshita (Jingshan on 2026-09-28). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Lu | H. Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.4% | 53.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
30.2% | 69.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.9% | 60.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.1% | 58.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lu | hard | 1490 | 167–135 | 302 |
| H. Kinoshita | hard | 1527 | 84–69 | 153 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 10, 2026.
J. Lu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 28, 2026 | Jingshan | hard | J. Lu | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Werner | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | Y. Ku | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | N. Sato | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 2 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| L | W. Zheng | 2 - 1 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | E. Micic | 1 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | S. Hosogi | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | T. Prozorova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All Sept. 28, 2026 results & picks →