TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Mannarino (moneyline) at 2.24 in M. Kecmanovic vs A. Mannarino (Beijing on 2026-09-28). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kecmanovic | A. Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.4% | 46.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.5% | 50.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.2% | 55.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.0% | 51.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.1% | 44.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kecmanovic | hard | 1657 | 104–111 | 215 |
| A. Mannarino | hard | 1739 | 119–124 | 243 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.
A. Mannarino leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 28, 2026 | Beijing | hard | A. Mannarino | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 21, 2020 | Cologne 2 | hard | A. Mannarino | 2 - 0 |
| L | H. Rune | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 1 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | J. Simonsson | 2 - 0 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| L | N. Borges | 2 - 1 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 0 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
All Sept. 28, 2026 results & picks →