TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Joint (moneyline) at 3.85 in S. Cirstea vs M. Joint (Toronto on 2026-08-06). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Cirstea | M. Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
75.1% | 24.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.0% | 38.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.6% | 31.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
75.1% | 24.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
73.6% | 26.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cirstea | hard | 1867 | 102–70 | 172 |
| M. Joint | hard | 1775 | 99–63 | 162 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 6, 2026.
M. Joint leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 27, 2026 | Tokyo | hard | M. Joint | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 5, 2026 | Toronto | hard | M. Joint | 2 - 0 |
| March 6, 2025 | Indian Wells | hard | S. Cirstea | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Shubladze | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | M. Inglis | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 1 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Bucsa | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | S. Cirstea | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →