TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in I. Jovic vs M. Linette (Toronto on 2026-08-06) — the market is efficient, with I. Jovic favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | I. Jovic | M. Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.7% | 35.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.0% | 40.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.3% | 50.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.4% | 36.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.6% | 23.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Jovic | hard | 1850 | 69–32 | 101 |
| M. Linette | hard | 1745 | 119–97 | 216 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 22, 2026.
I. Jovic leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 23, 2026 | Madrid | clay | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 15, 2026 | WTA Hobart | hard | I. Jovic | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 27, 2024 | WTA US Open | hard | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | J. Cristian | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Raducanu | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | C. Zhao | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used