TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Li vs K. Cross (Toronto on 2026-08-06) — the market is efficient, with A. Li favoured at 1.29.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Li | K. Cross |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.7% | 40.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.9% | 42.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.6% | 52.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
73.6% | 26.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
| L | M. Frech | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | H. Dart | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | W. Osuigwe | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Saito | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used