TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Korneeva vs E. Navarro (Toronto on 2026-08-06) — the market is efficient, with E. Navarro favoured at 1.74.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Korneeva | E. Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.7% | 34.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.5% | 52.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
71.6% | 28.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
56.5% | 43.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.1% | 54.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Korneeva | hard | 1826 | 106–32 | 138 |
| E. Navarro | hard | 1713 | 86–63 | 149 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
| W | P. Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | E. Cocciaretto | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Selekhmeteva | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used