TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Day vs C. Gauff (Toronto on 2026-08-06) — the market is efficient, with C. Gauff favoured at 1.06.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Day | C. Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
11.9% | 88.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
8.0% | 92.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.1% | 31.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.4% | 74.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
14.2% | 85.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used