TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bouzkova vs T. Townsend (Toronto on 2026-08-06) — the market is efficient, with T. Townsend favoured at 1.73.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bouzkova | T. Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.9% | 44.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.5% | 59.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.1% | 52.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bouzkova | hard | 1747 | 128–86 | 214 |
| T. Townsend | hard | 1840 | 79–48 | 127 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 21, 2026.
T. Townsend leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Rome | clay | T. Townsend | 2 - 0 |
| March 5, 2026 | WTA Indian Wells | hard | T. Townsend | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 1, 2024 | WTA Washington | hard | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Valentova | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | I. Swiatek | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | G. Ruse | 2 - 1 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | M. Trevisan | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 2 - 0 | May 26, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used