TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Townsend (moneyline) at 2.32 in M. Bouzkova vs T. Townsend (Toronto on 2026-08-06). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bouzkova | T. Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.9% | 44.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.5% | 59.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.1% | 52.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bouzkova | hard | 1810 | 137–92 | 229 |
| T. Townsend | hard | 1875 | 85–52 | 137 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 24, 2026.
T. Townsend leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 5, 2026 | Toronto | hard | T. Townsend | 2 - 0 |
| May 7, 2026 | Rome | clay | T. Townsend | 2 - 0 |
| March 5, 2026 | WTA Indian Wells | hard | T. Townsend | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 1, 2024 | WTA Washington | hard | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Zakharova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | M. Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | Walk Over | Sept. 16, 2026 |
| W | T. Maria | 1 - 2 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Shnaider | 2 - 1 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | T. Preston | 2 - 0 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →