TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Khachanov vs B. Van De Zandschulp (Rome on 2026-05-10) — the market is efficient, with K. Khachanov favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Khachanov | B. Van De Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.1% | 52.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.1% | 58.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
25.4% | 74.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.9% | 62.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.6% | 47.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Khachanov | hard | 1781 | 120–84 | 204 |
| B. Van De Zandschulp | hard | 1749 | 108–84 | 192 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
K. Khachanov leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Rome | clay | K. Khachanov | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 28, 2023 | ATP Dubai | hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 5, 2021 | Melbourne (Great Ocean Road Open) | hard | K. Khachanov | 2 - 1 |
| L | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Harris | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Damm | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | J. Faria | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Vallejo | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | R. Safiullin | 3 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 1 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
All May 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used