TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Ruud vs J. Lehecka (Rome on 2026-05-10) — the market is efficient, with C. Ruud favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Ruud | J. Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
70.7% | 29.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.1% | 24.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
55.3% | 44.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.0% | 33.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ruud | hard | 1866 | 119–78 | 197 |
| J. Lehecka | hard | 1890 | 126–83 | 209 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
C. Ruud leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Rome | clay | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 9, 2023 | ATP Toronto | hard | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| July 21, 2022 | Gstaad | clay | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | J. Fonseca | 1 - 3 | May 31, 2026 |
| L | C. Wong | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 1 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | J. Munar | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Molcan | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Popyrin | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used