TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Blockx vs A. Zverev (Rome on 2026-05-10) — the market is efficient, with A. Zverev favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Blockx | A. Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
28.0% | 72.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
23.1% | 76.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.0% | 46.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.0% | 65.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
27.1% | 72.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 17, 2026.
A. Zverev leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Zverev | 3 - 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Rome | clay | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| May 1, 2026 | Madrid | clay | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. van Assche | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | R. A. Burruchaga | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | K. Jacquet | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
All May 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used