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E. Gorgodze vs L. Jeanjean — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · · June 24, 2026 · 16:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Gorgodze (moneyline) in E. Gorgodze vs L. Jeanjean (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24).

Surface grass Odds E. Gorgodze 3.50 · L. Jeanjean 1.29

Bot bet

E. Gorgodze (moneyline) · 1.5u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Profiles: E. Gorgodze · L. Jeanjean · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method E. Gorgodze L. Jeanjean
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
49.6% 50.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
48.3% 51.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
48.9% 51.1%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
26.9% 73.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
E. Gorgodze clay1522 120–114234
L. Jeanjean clay1691 111–70181

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.

Head to head

L. Jeanjean leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 24, 2026WimbledongrassL. Jeanjean2 - 0

Recent form

E. Gorgodze

L Y. Kabbaj 0 - 2 July 22, 2026
W A. Mintegi Del Olmo 2 - 1 July 20, 2026
W A. Soboleva 0 - 1 July 12, 2026
W T. Kostovic 2 - 0 July 11, 2026
W J. Riera 2 - 0 July 10, 2026

L. Jeanjean

L M. Frech 2 - 0 Aug. 3, 2026
W L. Zhu 2 - 1 Aug. 1, 2026
L M. Sherif 2 - 0 July 11, 2026
W A. Tubello 2 - 1 July 10, 2026
W F. Jones 1 - 2 July 9, 2026

All June 24, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

The model consensus projects a 42.3% win probability for Gorgodze, creating a significant 15.4% edge over the market's devigged price of 26.9%. While Gorgodze faces fatigue concerns with 4 matches in the last 14 days, the market trend indicates Jeanjean is being 'chased' (over-priced) despite her 'Strong Specialist' profile typically favoring Clay, whereas Gorgodze's 'All-Court' style is better suited for Grass variance. The value on the underdog at 3.50 odds is substantial enough to justify the risk.