TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Cross vs M. Stoiana (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with M. Stoiana favoured at 1.15.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Cross | M. Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
19.4% | 80.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.1% | 61.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
14.4% | 85.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
22.5% | 77.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.4% | 81.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Cross | hard | 1657 | 90–66 | 156 |
| M. Stoiana | hard | 1629 | 61–37 | 98 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
M. Stoiana leads 4–0 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Stoiana | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 30, 2026 | W100 San Diego, CA | hard | M. Stoiana | 0 - 0 |
| Nov. 23, 2025 | W50 Chihuahua 3 | hard | M. Stoiana | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 5, 2025 | Austin | hard | M. Stoiana | 1 - 0 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | H. Dart | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | W. Osuigwe | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Saito | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | P. Stearns | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Y. Ku | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Pareja | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. S. Rogers | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used