TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in B. Tomic vs C. O'Connell (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with C. O'Connell favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Tomic | C. O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
32.5% | 67.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
48.1% | 51.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.4% | 60.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.2% | 60.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Tomic | hard | 1624 | 149–103 | 252 |
| C. O'Connell | hard | 1700 | 131–96 | 227 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
C. O'Connell leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | C. O'Connell | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Boyer | Walk Over | July 27, 2026 |
| W | M. Tobon | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Martin | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. McDonald | 3 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | B. Tomic | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used