TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Crawley vs H. Sakatsume (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with H. Sakatsume favoured at 1.24.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Crawley | H. Sakatsume |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.2% | 46.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.4% | 44.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.2% | 53.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
27.2% | 72.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Crawley | hard | 1629 | 70–29 | 99 |
| H. Sakatsume | hard | 1653 | 162–100 | 262 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
F. Crawley leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 22, 2026 | W100 Evansville | — | F. Crawley | 2 - 1 |
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | F. Crawley | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Akli | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Lee | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | L. Reed | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Gomez | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | Y. Naito | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| L | M. Uchijima | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Arseneault | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Wong Hong Yi | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | F. Crawley | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used