TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Basing vs T. Gentzsch (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with T. Gentzsch favoured at 1.60.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Basing | T. Gentzsch |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
29.8% | 70.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
34.5% | 65.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.5% | 64.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
42.9% | 57.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Basing | hard | 1594 | 75–26 | 101 |
| T. Gentzsch | clay | 1669 | 119–78 | 197 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
M. Basing leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Basing | 2 - 0 |
| W | L. Ratti | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Bittoun | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Rawat | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | D. Palan | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | H. Searle | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | T. Monteiro | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Dahlin | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | J. Reis Da Silva | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | G. Onclin | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Nedic | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used