TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Jubb vs T. Barrios Vera (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with P. Jubb favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Jubb | T. Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.1% | 54.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.9% | 40.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
36.1% | 63.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.1% | 54.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Jubb | hard | 1539 | 155–81 | 236 |
| T. Barrios Vera | clay | 1624 | 161–103 | 264 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 6, 2026.
T. Barrios Vera leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | T. Barrios Vera | 2 - 1 |
| L | K. Sultanov | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | K. Friberg | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | T. Barrios Vera | 1 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | P. Herbert | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | R. Noguchi | 2 - 1 | June 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Dietrich | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | N. Visker | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | I. Simakin | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | D. Sweeny | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used