TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Hunter (moneyline) in A. Sasnovich vs S. Hunter (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Sasnovich | S. Hunter |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.0% | 52.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.2% | 42.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.6% | 47.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.9% | 41.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sasnovich | hard | 1737 | 89–80 | 169 |
| S. Hunter | hard | 1700 | 71–45 | 116 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 1 |
| June 7, 2026 | London | grass | S. Hunter | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | S. Hunter | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | C. Osorio | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | S. Johnson | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 1 | June 7, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
The model consensus identifies a 4.1% edge on Hunter at 2.25 odds, suggesting the market undervalues her chances. Qualitative factors strongly support this position: Hunter won their last meeting on this surface 16 days ago and spent significantly less time on court in the previous round (1h 11m vs 3h 13m), providing a crucial physical advantage. While Sasnovich is the slight statistical favorite, the payout on Hunter offers positive expected value given the matchup and fatigue dynamics.