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Bet sheet for 30 September 2026

Bet sheet archive · 30 September 2026

30 September 2026: 5 bets staked, settled 2W-2L. Every entry below was published before its match started.

Record 180W-235L (415 bets) ROI -7.1% Beat fair close 43.9% full graded record →

Jingshan

A. Shubladze vs J. Lu
J. Lu +6.5 (game handicap) @ 1.55 · 2.0u · pinnacle lost

Shubladze is the rightful favourite, but her form has slipped over the last three months and she has lost twice recently as a clear favourite to lower-rated players. Lu Jingshan is playing at home, is in her best form in years, and has already won as an underdog here. Getting six and a half games gives her a solid cushion even if she loses the match.

A. Shubladze won 2 - 0

Beijing

A. Bondar vs R. Zarazua
R. Zarazua +3.5 (game handicap) @ 2.06 · 1.0u · betfair won

Bondar's overall rating leans heavily on her clay results, and on hard courts the gap to Zarazua is much narrower than the price suggests. She also comes off a semi-final run in Seoul that included two matches in one day. We take Zarazua with a three-and-a-half game start.

R. Zarazua won 2 - 0

Beijing

M. Sherif vs P. Kudermetova
P. Kudermetova (moneyline) @ 1.55 · 1.25u · pinnacle void

Mayar Sherif's results are built almost entirely on clay, and her hard-court level sits well below her overall rating. On hard she has lost to lower-ranked opposition recently and her serve and return numbers trail the tour average. Kudermetova is the more solid hard-court player, and we think the price understates that.

Beijing

D. Vidmanova vs M. Timofeeva
D. Vidmanova (moneyline) @ 2.28 · 1.0u · betfair lost

Vidmanova is the underdog on the exchange, but on hard courts the two players rate about level and Vidmanova's serve and return numbers on this surface are the stronger pair. Timofeeva comes in straight off winning a title in Porto, with five matches in a week and a long trip to Beijing on a short turnaround. We think the price on Vidmanova is a little too long.

M. Timofeeva won 2 - 0

Beijing

Z. Zhang vs A. Gea
A. Gea -2.5 (game handicap) @ 1.53 · 1.25u · pinnacle won

Alejandro Gea arrives match-sharp after qualifying, including a straight-sets win over Tomas Machac, on the back of a run to the US Open fourth round. Zhang Zhizhen has played little and lost repeatedly at Challenger level this summer. We back Gea to win by three games or more.

A. Gea won 2 - 0

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Every pick is published before its match starts and graded in public — wins and losses both stay on the record. 18+. Bet responsibly.