D. Vidmanova vs M. Timofeeva — Prediction & Analysis

Beijing · WTA Beijing - 1/64-finals · Sept. 30, 2026 · 03:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Vidmanova (moneyline) at 2.28 in D. Vidmanova vs M. Timofeeva (Beijing on 2026-09-30). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds D. Vidmanova 1.90 · M. Timofeeva 2.00

Bot bet

D. Vidmanova (moneyline) @ 2.28 · 1.0u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: D. Vidmanova · M. Timofeeva · head-to-head record · Beijing

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method D. Vidmanova M. Timofeeva
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
40.9% 59.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
56.3% 43.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
22.4% 77.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
39.9% 60.1%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
51.3% 48.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
D. Vidmanova hard1687 73–29102
M. Timofeeva hard1723 103–67170

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 6, 2026.

Head to head

M. Timofeeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Sept. 30, 2026BeijinghardM. Timofeeva2 - 0

Recent form

D. Vidmanova

L K. Okamura 2 - 1 Oct. 6, 2026
L M. Timofeeva 0 - 2 Sept. 30, 2026
L J. Tjen 0 - 2 Sept. 13, 2026
L J. Bouzas Maneiro 0 - 2 Sept. 1, 2026
L N. Bartunkova 1 - 2 Aug. 27, 2026

M. Timofeeva

L S. Cirstea 2 - 1 Nov. 3, 2026
L X. Sun 1 - 2 Oct. 29, 2026
W T. Kostovic 2 - 0 Oct. 26, 2026
L N. Osaka 1 - 2 Oct. 2, 2026
W D. Vidmanova 0 - 2 Sept. 30, 2026

All Sept. 30, 2026 results & picks →

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