TennisEdge's AI bot is backing R. Zarazua +3.5 (game handicap) at 2.06 in A. Bondar vs R. Zarazua (Beijing on 2026-09-30). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Bondar | R. Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.8% | 35.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
24.1% | 75.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.3% | 48.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.7% | 39.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bondar | hard | 1660 | 82–86 | 168 |
| R. Zarazua | hard | 1682 | 122–96 | 218 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 29, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 30, 2026 | Beijing | hard | R. Zarazua | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 22, 2026 | Seoul | hard | A. Bondar | 2 - 1 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 0 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | M. Pohankova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| L | J. Riera | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | D. Papamichail | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Scott | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Urhobo | 0 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | X. Gao | 1 - 1 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
All Sept. 30, 2026 results & picks →