TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Z. Svajda vs M. H. Rehberg (Geneva on 2026-05-16) — the market is efficient, with Z. Svajda favoured at 1.67.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Svajda | M. H. Rehberg |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
24.8% | 75.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
27.8% | 72.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
24.5% | 75.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.7% | 74.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.5% | 44.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Svajda | hard | 1741 | 147–102 | 249 |
| M. H. Rehberg | clay | 1621 | 68–61 | 129 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 27, 2026.
M. H. Rehberg leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Geneva | clay | M. H. Rehberg | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | C. Hewitt | 1 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Kozlov | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Majchrzak | 3 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | D. E. Galan | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Travaglia | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Huesler | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Matusevich | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | Z. Piros | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
All May 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used