TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Bernet vs F. Comesana (Geneva on 2026-05-16) — the market is efficient, with F. Comesana favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Bernet | F. Comesana |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.1% | 57.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
75.7% | 24.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.0% | 48.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
30.7% | 69.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Bernet | clay | 1542 | 33–21 | 54 |
| F. Comesana | clay | 1706 | 184–101 | 285 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
F. Comesana leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Geneva | clay | F. Comesana | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. B. Torres | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | F. Bondioli | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. A. Gomez | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | J. C. Martin Manzano | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Dedura | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Donald | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 3 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
All May 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used