TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. E. Galan vs N. Basavareddy (Geneva on 2026-05-16) — the market is efficient, with N. Basavareddy favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. E. Galan | N. Basavareddy |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.0% | 42.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.4% | 33.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
21.1% | 78.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.5% | 51.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.1% | 58.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. E. Galan | clay | 1626 | 99–83 | 182 |
| N. Basavareddy | hard | 1750 | 95–49 | 144 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
N. Basavareddy leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Geneva | clay | N. Basavareddy | 2 - 0 |
| April 25, 2026 | Savannah | clay | N. Basavareddy | 2 - 0 |
| W | G. Georgiev | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Dahlin | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | M. H. Rehberg | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | P. Kotov | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Petkovic | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 1 - 3 | May 27, 2026 |
| W | T. Fritz | 1 - 3 | May 24, 2026 |
| L | J. Munar | 0 - 2 | May 19, 2026 |
| W | K. Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | May 17, 2026 |
| W | D. E. Galan | 0 - 2 | May 16, 2026 |
All May 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used