TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Ofner vs K. Feldbausch (Geneva on 2026-05-16) — the market is efficient, with S. Ofner favoured at 1.29.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Ofner | K. Feldbausch |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.9% | 50.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.7% | 42.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.9% | 59.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.5% | 50.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.5% | 27.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ofner | clay | 1701 | 100–69 | 169 |
| K. Feldbausch | clay | 1736 | 105–61 | 166 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
K. Feldbausch leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Geneva | clay | K. Feldbausch | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Molcan | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | D. Rincon | 2 - 1 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | N. Gombos | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | N. Gombos | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | D. Ajdukovic | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Mayot | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | I. Buse | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Vallejo | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
All May 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used