TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. Starodubtseva vs A. Fita Boluda (Rabat on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with Y. Starodubtseva favoured at 1.15.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Starodubtseva | A. Fita Boluda |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.3% | 57.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
25.4% | 74.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
48.0% | 52.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.6% | 61.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
82.7% | 17.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Starodubtseva | hard | 1636 | 69–53 | 122 |
| A. Fita Boluda | clay | 1558 | 169–111 | 280 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Y. Starodubtseva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Rabat | clay | Y. Starodubtseva | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | S. Stephens | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Blinkova | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| L | K. Tsygourova | Walk Over | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Zantedeschi | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Herrero Linana | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Otzipka | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | I. Balus | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used