TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Nahimana vs A. Tomljanovic (Rabat on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with A. Tomljanovic favoured at 1.24.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Nahimana | A. Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.0% | 33.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
81.2% | 18.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
55.5% | 44.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.9% | 32.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.4% | 76.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Nahimana | clay | 1559 | 148–103 | 251 |
| A. Tomljanovic | hard | 1767 | 73–69 | 142 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 20, 2026.
S. Nahimana leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Rabat | clay | S. Nahimana | 2 - 0 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 0 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 0 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | E. Andreeva | 1 - 2 | May 16, 2026 |
| W | L. Zaar | 1 - 2 | May 14, 2026 |
| W | M. Leonard | 2 - 1 | May 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Bolkvadze | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used