TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Arango vs E. Seidel (Rabat on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with E. Seidel favoured at 1.65.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Arango | E. Seidel |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.9% | 57.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
37.2% | 62.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.7% | 48.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.9% | 56.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.7% | 55.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Rabat | clay | E. Arango | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 23, 2025 | Beijing | hard | E. Seidel | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Boisson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | T. Zidansek | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | L. Nilsson | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Galfi | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | A. Kulikova | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | S. Sierra | 2 - 0 | June 20, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used