TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Vandewinkel vs P. Udvardy (Rabat on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with H. Vandewinkel favoured at 1.85.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Vandewinkel | P. Udvardy |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.3% | 54.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.4% | 57.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.9% | 43.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.2% | 51.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.3% | 48.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Vandewinkel | clay | 1593 | 99–62 | 161 |
| P. Udvardy | clay | 1702 | 179–102 | 281 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 26, 2026.
P. Udvardy leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Rabat | clay | P. Udvardy | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Zakharova | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | H. Tan | 1 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | W. Falkowska | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | E. Lys | 1 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | E. Pridankina | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used