TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. Putintseva vs O. Oliynykova (Strasbourg on 2026-05-17) — the market is efficient, with Y. Putintseva favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Putintseva | O. Oliynykova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
31.5% | 68.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
17.9% | 82.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.8% | 61.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
29.4% | 70.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.8% | 39.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Putintseva | hard | 1750 | 113–90 | 203 |
| O. Oliynykova | clay | 1771 | 174–75 | 249 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
O. Oliynykova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Strasbourg | clay | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Zhang | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Avanesyan | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Barthel | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Charaeva | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Avanesyan | Walk Over | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | N. M. Schunk | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
All May 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used