TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Kessler vs O. Selekhmeteva (Strasbourg on 2026-05-17) — the market is efficient, with M. Kessler favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kessler | O. Selekhmeteva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
27.6% | 72.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
15.2% | 84.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
41.8% | 58.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
28.2% | 71.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.4% | 44.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kessler | hard | 1792 | 101–54 | 155 |
| O. Selekhmeteva | clay | 1627 | 102–59 | 161 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
M. Kessler leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Strasbourg | clay | M. Kessler | 2 - 0 |
| W | C. Brace | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Ito | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | E. Yaneva | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Vandromme | 2 - 0 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | Y. Kotliar | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
All May 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used