TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Gibson vs S. Zhang (Strasbourg on 2026-05-17) — the market is efficient, with S. Zhang favoured at 1.49.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Gibson | S. Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.5% | 46.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.5% | 37.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
56.2% | 43.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
38.3% | 61.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
T. Gibson leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Strasbourg | clay | T. Gibson | 2 - 0 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | Ka. Pliskova | 2 - 0 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | Y. Putintseva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | G. Knutson | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | B. Andreescu | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | G. Ruse | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
All May 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used