TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Bejlek vs E. Navarro (Strasbourg on 2026-05-17) — the market is efficient, with S. Bejlek favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Bejlek | E. Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.7% | 42.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.4% | 35.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.1% | 38.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bejlek | clay | 1747 | 137–58 | 195 |
| E. Navarro | hard | 1713 | 86–63 | 149 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
E. Navarro leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Strasbourg | clay | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 15, 2022 | Buenos Aires | clay | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 |
| July 9, 2022 | W60 Amstelveen | clay | E. Navarro | 2 - 1 |
| W | Xiy. Wang | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | L. Tagger | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Tauson | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | E. Cocciaretto | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Selekhmeteva | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used