TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. Kabbaj vs B. Cengiz (Rabat on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with B. Cengiz favoured at 1.41.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Kabbaj | B. Cengiz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.0% | 53.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.6% | 63.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.4% | 34.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.6% | 50.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
32.6% | 67.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
Y. Kabbaj leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Rabat | clay | Y. Kabbaj | 2 - 0 |
| W | T. Lemaitre | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Bronzetti | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Gorgodze | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Chiesa | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | E. Perelygina | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | F. Curmi | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Siskova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. M. Garcia | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used