TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Xin. Wang (moneyline) in Xin. Wang vs E. Cocciaretto (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Xin. Wang | E. Cocciaretto |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
70.5% | 29.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.7% | 38.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.1% | 33.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xin. Wang | hard | 1705 | 96–88 | 184 |
| E. Cocciaretto | clay | 1690 | 94–47 | 141 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | Xin. Wang | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 23, 2023 | Merida | hard | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Kasatkina | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Pareja | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | B. Bencic | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Gibson | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | C. Tauson | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
The model consensus identifies a 7.5% edge on Wang, driven primarily by a massive 151-point ELO advantage on grass where she is a rated specialist. While fatigue metrics flag Wang with a heavier recent load (295 mins vs 106 mins), the actual court time is moderate for a professional athlete and does not justify the odds discrepancy. Market trends indicate the bookmakers may be chasing Cocciaretto's form, potentially creating value on the other side. With no injury reports and a strong statistical foundation, backing the favorite is the logical play.