TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. De Jong vs R. Hijikata (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with R. Hijikata favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. De Jong | R. Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
19.2% | 80.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.3% | 73.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.7% | 74.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.8% | 68.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. De Jong | clay | 1752 | 139–88 | 227 |
| R. Hijikata | hard | 1725 | 183–115 | 298 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
J. De Jong leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. De Jong | 3 - 2 |
| L | T. Skatov | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Baez | 0 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Fonseca | 0 - 3 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | R. Hijikata | 3 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | J. Munar | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. De Jong | 3 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 2 - 0 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | J. Lehecka | 2 - 1 | June 18, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used