TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Royer vs F. Comesana (Geneva on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with F. Comesana favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Royer | F. Comesana |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.7% | 25.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.9% | 48.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.4% | 37.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
36.4% | 63.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Royer | clay | 1705 | 144–71 | 215 |
| F. Comesana | clay | 1706 | 184–101 | 285 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
F. Comesana leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Geneva | clay | F. Comesana | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 12, 2026 | Auckland | hard | F. Comesana | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Molcan | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | T. Daniel | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | O. Wallin | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Neuchrist | 2 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Dedura | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Donald | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 3 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used