TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Rinderknech vs T. A. Tirante (Geneva on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with T. A. Tirante favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rinderknech | T. A. Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.8% | 69.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
37.5% | 62.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
27.8% | 72.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.0% | 68.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.8% | 60.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rinderknech | hard | 1775 | 126–102 | 228 |
| T. A. Tirante | clay | 1806 | 156–120 | 276 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 21, 2026.
A. Rinderknech leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Geneva | clay | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Baez | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Tabur | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 3 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Damm | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Tabilo | Walk Over | July 17, 2026 |
| W | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Marozsan | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used