TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Brooksby vs C. Ruud (Geneva on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with C. Ruud favoured at 1.08.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Brooksby | C. Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
8.8% | 91.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
27.1% | 72.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
17.9% | 82.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
11.9% | 88.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brooksby | hard | 1729 | 86–55 | 141 |
| C. Ruud | hard | 1866 | 119–78 | 197 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
C. Ruud leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Geneva | clay | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 19, 2023 | Australian Open | hard | J. Brooksby | 3 - 1 |
| May 12, 2022 | Rome | clay | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Wong | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | E. Winter | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Moutet | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | I. Buse | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | J. Fonseca | 1 - 3 | May 31, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used