TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in U. Humbert vs D. Prizmic (Rome on 2026-05-10) — the market is efficient, with D. Prizmic favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | U. Humbert | D. Prizmic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
17.4% | 82.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
15.8% | 84.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
15.2% | 84.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
16.1% | 83.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.8% | 68.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Humbert | hard | 1831 | 131–80 | 211 |
| D. Prizmic | clay | 1859 | 101–43 | 144 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
D. Prizmic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Rome | clay | D. Prizmic | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Shelton | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Martin | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 | June 28, 2026 |
| W | J. Draper | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Molcan | 1 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Walton | 1 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | June 26, 2026 |
All May 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used