TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Martincova vs C. Osorio (Rabat on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with C. Osorio favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Martincova | C. Osorio |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.5% | 64.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.4% | 78.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.1% | 36.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.0% | 60.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
20.9% | 79.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Martincova | hard | 1586 | 69–65 | 134 |
| C. Osorio | hard | 1807 | 72–65 | 137 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 28, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Rabat | clay | C. Osorio | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 28, 2021 | Chicago 2 | hard | T. Martincova | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Kraus | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | K. Swan | 0 - 2 | June 10, 2026 |
| W | K. Cross | 0 - 2 | June 8, 2026 |
| W | B. Black | 0 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
| L | R. Masarova | 2 - 1 | June 2, 2026 |
| W | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Hunter | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used