T. Gibson vs M. Bouzkova — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · WTA Wimbledon - 1/64-finals · June 29, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bouzkova (moneyline) in T. Gibson vs M. Bouzkova (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).

Surface grass Odds T. Gibson 3.20 · M. Bouzkova 1.36

Bot bet

M. Bouzkova (moneyline) · 1.5u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: T. Gibson · M. Bouzkova · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method T. Gibson M. Bouzkova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
22.5% 77.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
55.2% 44.8%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
28.8% 71.2%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
22.5% 77.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
29.8% 70.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
T. Gibson grass1531 13–1629
M. Bouzkova grass1810 22–1638

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 30, 2026.

Head to head

M. Bouzkova leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 30, 2026WimbledongrassM. Bouzkova2 - 1
Dec. 29, 2024BrisbanehardM. Bouzkova2 - 1

Recent form

T. Gibson

L A. Sasnovich 1 - 2 Nov. 4, 2026
W O. Oliynykova 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L A. Eala 2 - 1 Oct. 28, 2026
W D. Kasatkina 0 - 2 Oct. 26, 2026
L A. Krueger 0 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026

M. Bouzkova

L L. Fernandez 2 - 0 Oct. 24, 2026
W S. Bejlek 0 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026
W A. Zakharova 2 - 0 Oct. 21, 2026
W K. Rakhimova 0 - 2 Oct. 19, 2026
L M. Chwalinska 1 - 2 Oct. 14, 2026

All June 29, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →