TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Fritz (moneyline) in T. Fritz vs A. Bublik (Wimbledon on 2026-07-06).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Fritz | A. Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.8% | 32.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
68.0% | 32.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.8% | 35.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.8% | 35.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 8, 2026.
T. Fritz leads 5–2 over 7 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | T. Fritz | 3 - 0 |
| June 13, 2026 | Stuttgart | grass | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 30, 2025 | Paris | hard | A. Bublik | 2 - 0 |
| July 27, 2024 | Olympic Games | clay | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 15, 2022 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | — | T. Fritz | 2 - 1 |
| W | H. Rune | Walk Over | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | A. Fils | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Molcan | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 1 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | K. Khachanov | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 2 - 1 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | B. Nakashima | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | T. Machac | 2 - 0 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →